Peterson Institute for International Economics: AI Futures - Planning for Transformative Scenarios Before They Hit

WASHINGTON, Feb. 5 -- The Peterson Institute for International Economics issued the following commentary on Feb. 3, 2026, by senior research staffer Anton Korinek and Era Dabla-Norris, deputy director of fiscal affairs at the International Monetary Fund:

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AI futures: Planning for transformative scenarios before they hit

Traditional economists and technologists see AI's trajectory very differently. Policymakers can't afford to bet on just one . . .

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